British pensions face 85 bln pound deficit-study

Tue Feb 7, 2012 10:38am EST

* UK DB pension deficits to rise by 85 bln pounds in 2012

* 40 pct of UK companies to report triennial valuations

* Claims on corporate Britain to increase

By Anjuli Davies

LONDON, Feb 7 (Reuters) – British companies with
defined benefit pension schemes are likely to face rising
pressure to plug deficits that could grow by 85 billion pounds
($134 billion) this year against a backdrop of falling bond
yields and prolonged market volatility, a survey on Tuesday
showed.

If equity markets drop 10 percent more, UK gilt yields fall
another 30 basis points and inflation stays just below 5
percent, UK defined benefit pension funds could see deficits
spiral, pension liability insurer Pension Insurance Corporation
(PIC) estimates in its latest Pension Risk Tracker Index.

Benefits under these schemes are pre-determined using a
formula based on salary and duration of employment.

“The possible impact on funding positions of QE
(quantitative easing), tension in the Middle East and a Greek
default might be expected to be significant. Combined, they
could prove devastating,” said David Collinson, Co-Head of
Business Origination at PIC.

The Bank of England looks set to plough on with a third
round of quantitative easing this week to shore up Britain’s
economy. This will further depress the yield of UK gilts, a
pension fund’s staple investment, making it more expensive for
funds to match income to liabilities unless they add riskier,
higher-yielding assets to portfolios.

Pension funds in the UK slashed their weightings for
equities to an average of 55 percent in 2011 from 65 percent,
while fixed-income holdings rose to 45 percent from 35 percent
calculates PIC, as the euro zone crisis roiled equity markets.

The scale of the shortfall will likely be crystallised when
around 40 percent of pension funds in the UK report their
triennial valuations at the end of March, an assessment of their
financial strength conducted every three years.

“There will unfortunately be many tough conversations about
funding plans, following March’s triennial valuations,” said
Collinson.

“Big companies sitting on cash will be asked by pension
funds to be paid and there will be a tension there for well-off
companies about how quickly they should be expected to pay off
deficits.”

Large pension contributions by companies are an immediate
hit on cash flow, diverting money from shareholder dividends,
stock buybacks and capital investments.

UK companies would have needed to inject 470 billion pounds
into pension schemes as of March 31 2011, to match their
liabilities, the latest edition of the Purple Book, an annual
publication of the Pension Protection Fund (PPF) and the
Pensions Regulator estimates.

Set up in 2005 to protect the savings accrued by private
sector workers, the PPF takes on the assets and liabilities of
pension funds that fall under its jurisdiction and charges a
levy to pension funds potentially eligible for its help.

PIC has around 4.5 billion pounds in assets and has insured
more than 50,000 pension fund members from FTSE 100 companies,
multinationals and the public sector.

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